Probability Theory: Math 407

 

 

Instructor: Larry Goldstein, larry@usc.edu

Course Prerequisite: USC MATH 226 or MATH 227, or an equivalent advanced multivariate calculus course.

Text and Course Coverage

Introduction to Probability, by David Anderson, Timo Seppalainen, and Benedek Valko

The course will cover the following material:

Chapter 1: Experiments with random outcomes, Sections 1.1-1.5

Chapter 2: Conditional probability and Independence, Sections 2.1-2.4

Chapter 3: Random Variables: Sections 3.1-3.5

Chapter 4: Approximations of the binomial distribution, Sections 4.1-4.6

Chapter 5: Transforms and transformations, Sections 5.1-5.2

Chapter 6: Joint distributions of random variables, Sections 6.2-6.3

Chapter 9: Tail bounds and limit theorems, Sections 9.1-9.3

Exams and Grading Policy

  • 15% Attendance
  • 25% Midterm exam, May 21st. Midterm Solutions
  • 35% Final Exam, June 7th,
  • 25% Four Quizzes, two on the first two Thursdays of the problem session, and the next two on the last two Tuesdays, covering the material since the previous quiz up to the Tuesday/Friday of the week of the quiz.

Assignments

Chapter 1: 1,2,8,9,12,13,16,19,21,23,30,32,41,43,51,58,59

 

Chapter 2: 2,5,9,11,14,19,21,22,31,34,48,67,85,88

 

Chapter 3: 1,3,7,9,15,17,31,40,46,52,56,57,58,63,66,69,74,77

 

Chapter 4: 3,5,11,12,15,20,23,28,32,35,36,41,44,49,50,52,53,54,56

 

Chapter 5: 2,5,7,9,10,16,18,20,21,22,24,28,31,33,37,39,40,43

 

Chapter 6: 7,13,15*,18,19,21,22,29,36,39,47,50*,55,57,58,60* (*=optional)

 

Chapter 7: 7.4, 7.15

 

Chapter 9: 2,4,17,20,21*,24*,25* (is the condition |Cov(X_i,X_{i+1})| ≤c needed?), 26 (you may add additional conditional on the behavior of E[T_n]),27*, 29*, 32*, 33* (*=optional)

Class notes:  May 13: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8

 May 14

 May 14

 May 15

May 16

May 16

May 17

May 20

May 21

May 22

May 23, problem session

May 23

May 27

May 28

May 29

May 29, problem session

May 30

May 30, problem session

May 31

June 3

June 4, AM

June 4, PM

June 5 (too large for this page, uploaded to University (USC/LUISS) specific site)

June 6, AM

June 6, PM

Exercises: 1,2, Additional Exercises, 3, 4, 5

Applied Problems