Faculty


Richard John

Associate Professor of Psychology

Contact Information
E-mail: richardj@usc.edu
Phone: (213) 740-4011
Office: SGM 621

 

Education

  • B.S. Applied Mathematics, Georgia Institute of Technology, 6/1976
  • M.S. Applied Mathematics, University of Southern California, 12/1983
  • Ph.D. Quantitative Psychology, University of Southern California, 5/1984

  • Academic Appointment, Affiliation, and Employment History

    • Associate Professor. Department of Psychology, University of Southern California, 07/1997-  
    • Associate Professor, Institute for Safety and Systems Management, University of Southern California, 07/1990-06/1997  
    • Assistant Professor, Institute for Safety and Systems Management, University of Southern California, 07/1984-06/1990  

    Affiliations with Research Centers, Labs, and Other Institutions

    • CREATE - Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events, Risk Analysis and Risk Perception Teams, Designated Researcher, http://www.usc.edu/dept/create/

    Conferences and Other Presentations


    Conference Presentations
    • "Using scenario simulation to assess the dynamics of affect, threat beliefs, perceived risk and intended avoidance behavior during escalating catastrophic biological disasters. ", 2nd International Conference on Integrated Disaster & Risk Management, Talk/Oral Presentation, Abstract, Los Angeles, CREATE, Invited, 07/2011  
    • "Value focused modeling for an adaptive adversary", 4th Annual Workshop on Human Behavior and Security (SHB-2011), Talk/Oral Presentation, Pittsburgh, Pa., CMU, CREATE, Invited, 06/2011  
    • "Dynamics of affect, threat beliefs, perceived risk and intended avoid¬ance behavior during a scenario simu¬lation of an escalating catastrophic biological disaster", Annual Meeting of the Society for Risk Analysis (SRA), Talk/Oral Presentation, Abstract, Salt Lake City, Utah, CREATE, Invited, 12/2010  
    • "Modeling the dynamic bidirectional influence of attack threat and countermeasure decision making", Annual Meeting of the Society for Risk Analysis (SRA), Talk/Oral Presentation, Abstract, Salt Lake City, Utah, CREATE, Invited, 12/2010  
    • "DNA database trawling: Effects on judgments of guilt and the interpretation of non-genetic evidence", Annual Conference for Empirical Legal Studies (CELS), Talk/Oral Presentation, Refereed Paper, Yale Law School, 11/2010  
    • "Do East Versus West Coast Residents Respond Differently to a Catastrophic Biological Outbreak?", Annual Meeting of INFORMS, Talk/Oral Presentation, Refereed Abstract, Austin, Tx., CREATE, 11/2010  
    • "Genetic database trawls and the expectation of corroborating evidence: An account of the Wells Effect", 31st Annual Meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making, Talk/Oral Presentation, Refereed Abstract, St. Louis, Mo, CREATE, 11/2010  
    • "Information moderates desirability bias in predicting uncertain future events", 31st Annual Meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making, Poster, Refereed Abstract, St. Louis, Mo, CREATE, 11/2010  
    • "Knowing more but thinking less: Expertise and unpacking biases under uncertainty", 31st Annual Meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making, Poster, Refereed Abstract, St. Louis, Mo, CREATE, 11/2010  
    • "Mapping judgments of domestic intelligence policy alternatives", 31st Annual Meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making, Poster, Refereed Abstract, St. Louis, Mo, CREATE, 11/2010  
    • "Structuring dynamic public response to multiple biological terrorist attacks", Annual Meeting of INFORMS, Talk/Oral Presentation, Refereed Abstract, Austin, Tx., CREATE, 11/2010  
    • "Using MAU to Structure Domestic Intelligence Policy", Annual Meeting of INFORMS, Talk/Oral Presentation, Refereed Abstract, Austin, Tx., CREATE, 11/2010  
    • "How does the source of a deadly flu virus affect changes in beliefs, emotions, and behavioral intentions to react to a growing epidemic? ", 48th Annual Edwards' Bayesian Research Conference, Talk/Oral Presentation, Refereed Abstract, Fullerton, California, CREATE, 01/2010  
    • "How does government risk communication and social norm affect fear, perception of risk, and behavioral intentions following terrorist attacks? ", Annual meeting of the Society for Risk Analysis (SRA), Talk/Oral Presentation, Refereed Abstract, Baltimore, Maryland, CREATE, 12/2009  
    • "What have we learned about the public’s perception of terrorism risk?", Annual meeting of the Society for Risk Analysis (SRA), Poster, Refereed Abstract, Baltimore, Maryland, CREATE, 12/2009  
    • "Actuarial risk assessment, risk communication and involuntary civil commitment decisions", 30th Annual Meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making (SJDM), Poster, Refereed Abstract, Boston, MA, CREATE, 11/2009  
    • "Decision Analysis by Proxy for the Rational Terrorist", 30th Annual Meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making (SJDM), Poster, Refereed Abstract, Boston, MA, CREATE, 11/2009  
    • "Fear and loathing in Hollywood", 30th Annual Meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making (SJDM), Poster, Refereed Abstract, Boston, MA, CREATE, 11/2009  
    • "Value focused thinking for evaluating alternative counter-terrorism policies", Institute for Operations Research and Management Science (INFORMS), Talk/Oral Presentation, San Diego, California, CREATE, Invited, 10/11/2009-10/14/2009  
    • "Risk perception driving factors", workshop on Public Response Threat: Cross-Disciplinary Contributions and Collaboration, Talk/Oral Presentation, Abstract, Eugene, Oregon, CREATE, Invited, 08/2009  
    • "Fear and Loathing in the U.S. and Hollywood", 22nd annual meeting on Subjective Probability, Utility, and Decision Making (SPUDM-22), Talk/Oral Presentation, Refereed Abstract, Rovereto, Italy, CREATE, 08/23/2009-08/27/2009  
    • "Decision analysis by proxy for the rational terrorist", Quantitative Risk Analysis for Security Applications (QRASA-09) Workshop, 21st International Joint C, Talk/Oral Presentation, Paper, Pasadena, California, CREATE, Invited, 07/2009  
    • "Fear and loathing in Hollywood and elsewhere: Studies in perception of risks from terrorism (asymmetric threats).", MIT Conference on Security and Human Behavior, Talk/Oral Presentation, Cambridge, Massachusetts, CREATE, Invited, 06/10/2009-06/11/2009  
    • "Value focused thinking for counterterrorism risk analysis", annual Department of Homeland Security (DHS) Summit Meeting, Talk/Oral Presentation, Washington, D. C.,, CREATE, Invited, 03/17/2009-03/18/2009  
    • "Using terrorism risk perception to better understand the public’s response to disasters", 47th Annual Bayesian Research Conference, Talk/Oral Presentation, Refereed Abstract, Fullerton, California, CREATE, 01/2009  
    • "Faithful followers of Rev. Bayes seduced to the dark side", 47th annual Bayesian Research Conference, Talk/Oral Presentation, Fullerton, California, CREATE, Invited, 01/07/2009-01/10/2009  
    • "Defender-attacker decision trees for terrorism risk analysis.", Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) annual meeting, Talk/Oral Presentation, Refereed Boston, Massachusetts, CREATE, Invited, 12/07/2008-12/10/2008  
    • "The Sum of Our Fears and Egocentric Zero-Sum Assumptions ", Institute for Operations Research and Management Science (INFORMS) Annual Conference, Talk/Oral Presentation, Washington, D.C., CREATE, Invited, 10/12/2008-10/15/2008  
    • "Perspective Taking: Avoiding the Zero-Sum Trap ", Conference on Behavioral Economics and Terrorism, Talk/Oral Presentation, Los Angeles, CREATE, Invited, 08/15/2008-08/16/2008  
    • "Perspective Taking & Threat Assessment ", MIT Conference on Human Behavior and Security, Talk/Oral Presentation, Cambridge, Ma., CREATE, Invited, 06/30/2008-07/01/2008  
    • "Probabilistic Project Management for a Terrorist Planning a Dirty Bomb Attack on a Major US Port", NPS Workshop on Critical Infrastructure, Talk/Oral Presentation, Monterrey, California, Naval Post Graduate School, Invited, 06/06/2008-06/07/2008  
    • "Random Utility Modeling for the Rational Terrorist", LANL Risk Symposium 2008, Effective Risk Communication: Tools, Theory and Applications , Talk/Oral Presentation, Santa Fe, New Mexico, CREATE, Invited, 03/11/2008-03/13/2008  
    • "What do terrorists really want?", Bayesian Research Conference, Talk/Oral Presentation, Fullerton, California, CREATE, Invited, 01/10/2008-01/11/2008  
    • "Cognitive, emotional, and behavioral reactions to terrorism events", Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) Annual Conference, Talk/Oral Presentation, Refereed San Antonio, CREATE, Invited, 12/09/2007-12/12/2007  
    • "What do we know about public perception of terrorism risks?", Society for Risk Analysis (SRA), Talk/Oral Presentation, Refereed San Antonio, CREATE, Invited, 12/09/2007-12/12/2007  
    • "Cognitive, emotional, and behavioral reactions to terrorism events.", Institute for Operations Research and Management Science (INFORMS), Talk/Oral Presentation, Refereed Seattle, CREATE, Invited, 11/04/2007-11/07/2007  
    • "Decision analysis by proxy for the rational terrorist", Institute for Operations Research and Management Science (INFORMS), Talk/Oral Presentation, Refereed Seattle, CREATE, Invited, 11/04/2007-11/07/2007  
    • "Lifestyle choices: The difference between you and me. ", Association for Psychological Science (APS), Poster, Refereed Washington, D. C., 05/24/2007-05/27/2007  
    • "Random utility modeling of terrorist preferences to estimate terrorist attack probability", Los Alamos National Laboratory Risk Symposium, Talk/Oral Presentation, Santa Fe, N. M., Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) & DHS, Invited, 03/25/2007-03/26/2007  
    • "Modeling terrorist motivations and beliefs", DHS University Programs Research Summit, Talk/Oral Presentation, Washington, D. C., Department of Homeland Security (DHS), Invited, 03/15/2007-03/16/2007  
    • "Estimating likelihood of terrorist attacks by modeling terrorist objectives and values", Institute for Operations Research and Management Science (INFORMS), Talk/Oral Presentation, Refereed Pittsburg, CREATE, Invited, 11/2006  
    • "Future time perspective, risk perceptions, and health", Gerontological Society of America (GSA), Poster, Refereed Dallas, 11/16/2006-11/20/2006  
    • "Age differences in preventive health decisions", Association of Psychological Science (APS), Poster, Refereed New York, 05/25/2006-05/28/2006  

    Publications


    Book Chapter
    • Brougham, R., John, R. S. (2009). Time Perspective: Health, Income, and Age.
    • Marjchrzak, A., Malhotra, A., John, R. S. (2008). Enabling knowledge sharing effectiveness in structurally diverse distributed teams with organizational memory information systems, In I. Becerra-Fernandez & D. Leidner (Eds.), Knowledge management: An evolutionary view of the field. New York: M. E. Sharpe, Inc..
    • Brougham, R. R., John, R. S. (2007). Age differences in preventative health decisions, In Paul O’Neal (Ed.), Motivation of health behavior. pp. 49-63. New York: Nova Science Publishers.

    Conference Proceeding
    • John, R. S., Rosoff, H. (2011). Modeling effects of counterterrorism initiatives for reducing adversary threats to transportation systems.
    • Rosoff, H., John, R. S. (2009). Decision analysis by proxy for the rational terrorist. Proceedings of the 21st International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence (IJCAI-09), Workshop on Quantitative Risk Analysis for Security Applications (QRASA), Pasadena, California, July 11-17..

    Journal Article
    • Scurich, N., John, R. S. (2011). Trawling genetic databases: When a DNA match is just a naked statistic. Journal of Empirical Legal Studies. Vol. 8 (S1), pp. 49-71.
    • Rosoff, H., John, R. S., Prager, F. (2011). Flu, risks, and videotape: Escalation of fear and avoidance behavior. Risk Analysis.
    • Dillon-Merrill, R., John, R. S., Lester, G., Tinsley, C. (2011). Differentiating Conflicts in Beliefs vs. Value Trade-offs in the Domestic Intelligence Policy Debate. Risk Analysis.
    • Scurich, N., John, R. S. (2011). Constraints on restraints: A signal detection analysis of the use of mechanical restraints on adult psychiatric inpatients. Southern California Review of Law and Social Justice.
    • Scurich, N., John, R. S. (2011). The effect of framing actuarial risk probabilities on involuntary civil commitment decisions. Law and Human Behavior. Vol. 35 (2), pp. 83-91.
    • Rosoff, H., John, R. S., Burns, W., Maya, I. (2011). Scenario simulation group reactions to the aftermath of the Great Shake-out magnitude 7.8 earthquake. Earthquake Spectra. Vol. 27 (2), pp. 597-614.
    • Scurich, N., John, R. S. (2011). Prescriptive approaches to communicating the risk of violence in actuarial risk assessment. Psychology, Public Policy, and Law.
    • Scurich, N., John, R. S. (2011). A Bayesian approach to group vs. individual prediction. Law and Human Behavior.
    • Scurich, N., John, R. S. (2010). The normative threshold for psychiatric civil commitment. Jurimetrics: The Journal of Law, Science, and Technology. Vol. 50, pp. 425-452.
    • Silverton, L., Mednick, S., Holst, C., John, R. S. (2008). High social class and suicide in persons at risk for schizophrenia. Acta Psychiatrica Scandinavica. Vol. 117 (3), pp. 192-197.
    • Doumas, D. M., Margolin, G., John, R. S. (2008). Spillover patterns in single-earner couples: Work, self-care, and the marital relationship. Journal of Family and Economic Issues. Vol. 29 (1), pp. 55-73.
    • Damos, D. L., John, R. S., Lyall, E. A. (2005). Pilot activities and the level of cockpit automation. The International Journal of Aviation Psychology. Vol. 15 (3), pp. 251-268.
    • Majchrzak, A., Malhotra, A., John, R. S. (2005). Perceived individual collaboration know-how development through information technology-enabled contextualization: evidence from distributed teams. Information Systems Research. Vol. 16 (1), pp. 9-27.
    • Doumas, D., Margolin, G., John, R. S. (2003). The relationship between daily marital interaction, work, and health-promoting behaviors in dual-earner couples: An extension of the work-family spillover model. Journal of Family Issues/Sage Publications. Vol. 24 (1), pp. 3-20.
    • Delsol, C., Margolin, G., John, R. S. (2003). A typology of maritally violent men and correlates of violence in a community sample. Journal of Marriage and Family. Vol. 65 (3), pp. 635-651.
    • Dillon, R. L., John, R. S., von Winterfeldt, D. (2002). Assessment of cost uncertainties for large technology projects: A methodology and an application. Interfaces. Vol. 32 (4), pp. 52-66.
    • Gatz, M., Reynolds, C. A., Johansson, B., Mortimer, J. A., Pedersen, N. L., John, R. S. (2002). Telephone screening to identify potential dementia cases in a population-based sample of older adults. International Psychogeriatrics. Vol. 14 (3), pp. 273-289.
    • Margolin, G., Gordis, E. B., John, R. S. (2001). Coparenting: A link between marital conflict and parenting in two parent families. Journal of Family Psychology. Vol. 15 (1), pp. 3-21.
    • Gordis, E. B., Margolin, G., John, R. S. (2001). The relations among parents' hostility in dyadic marital and triadic family settings and children's behavior problems. Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology. Vol. 69 (4), pp. 727-734.


    Service to the University

    Administrative Appointments
    • Chair, University Park Institutional Review Board (UPIRB), 07/01/2006-  
    Committees
    • Member, Undergraduate Curriculum, Psychology Department, 08/16/2011-  
    • Chair, Progressive Masters Degree Program, Department of Psychology, 08/16/2009-  
    • Member, Subject Pool, Department of Psychology, 08/16/2008-  
    • Member, Masters in Human Behavior Degree Program, Department of Psychology, 08/16/2007-  
    • Chair, University Park Institutional Review Board (UPIRB), 07/01/2006-  


  • Department of Psychology
  • University of Southern California
  • SGM 501
  • 3620 South McClintock Ave.
  • Los Angeles, CA 90089-1061