{"id":23076,"date":"2025-02-06T13:23:11","date_gmt":"2025-02-06T21:23:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dornsife.usc.edu\/news\/?p=23076"},"modified":"2025-02-07T16:00:17","modified_gmt":"2025-02-08T00:00:17","slug":"warschaw-conference-why-trump-won","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dornsife.usc.edu\/news\/stories\/warschaw-conference-why-trump-won\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Trump took back the White House"},"content":{"rendered":"\n\n\n    \n                                \n\n  \n    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n<div\n  class=\"cc--component-container cc--article-hero \"\n\n  \n  \n  \n  \n  \n  \n  >\n  <div class=\"c--component c--article-hero\"\n    \n      >\n\n    \n<div class=\"inner-wrapper\">\n          \n<div class=\"f--field f--image\">\n\n    \n    \n    \n    \n    \n    \n              \n      <img\n                            data-src=\"https:\/\/dornsife.usc.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/02\/2025_Warschaw_Conference_Top-768x432.jpg\"\n          data-srcset=\"https:\/\/dornsife.usc.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/02\/2025_Warschaw_Conference_Top-1920x1080.jpg 1920w,https:\/\/dornsife.usc.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/02\/2025_Warschaw_Conference_Top-1280x720.jpg 1280w,https:\/\/dornsife.usc.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/02\/2025_Warschaw_Conference_Top-768x432.jpg 768w\"          data-sizes=\"(min-width:1200px) 75vw, (min-width:768px) 83vw, 100vw\"          class=\"lazyload\"\n        \n                  alt=\"Montage of four photos showing \u201cFiring Line\u201d discussion, audience members asking questions and a panel discussion\"\n        \n        \n                                      \/>\n\n    \n    \n  \n  \n\n<\/div>\n  \n      <div class=\"image-caption\">\n          \n<div class=\"f--field f--description\">\n\n    \n  A full day of panels hosted by the USC Dornsife Center for the Political Future examined President Trump\u2019s win and the Democrats\u2019 defeat in the 2024 election. (Photos: USC Dornsife Center for the Political Future\/Kayla Wong.)\n\n\n<\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  \n  <div class=\"text-wrapper\">\n          <nav aria-label=\"Breadcrumb\" class=\"breadcrumbs\">\n        <ul>\n                      <li><a href=\"\/news\/stories\/\">News<\/a><\/li>\n                      <li><a href=\"\/news\/stories\/\/?category=politics\">Politics<\/a><\/li>\n                  <\/ul>\n      <\/nav>\n    \n              \n<div class=\"f--field f--page-title\">\n\n    \n  <h1>Why Trump took back the White House<\/h1>\n\n\n<\/div>\n    \n          <div class=\"subtitle\">\n            \n<div class=\"f--field f--description\">\n\n    \n  Panelists at the recent Warschaw Conference on Practical Politics discussed Donald Trump\u2019s return to the presidency, and how Democrats lost their way.\n\n\n<\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    \n           <strong class=\"author-field\"><span >By<\/span><a href=\"mailto:communication@dornsife.usc.edu\">Margaret Crable<\/a><\/strong>\n    \n          <span class=\"post-date-field\">February 6, 2025<\/span>\n      <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n  <\/div><\/div>\n\n  \n    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n<div\n  class=\"cc--component-container cc--social-share \"\n\n  \n  \n  \n  \n  \n  \n  >\n  <div class=\"c--component c--social-share\"\n    \n      >\n\n    \n  <div class=\"content-wrapper\">\n    <span class=\"a2a_kit a2a_kit_size_32 addtoany_list\" style=\"line-height: 32px;\">\n      <span class=\"title\">\n        Share\n      <\/span>\n                        <a class=\"a2a_button_copy_link\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"\/#copy_link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"Link\">\n            <span class=\"a2a_svg a2a_s__default a2a_s_copy_link\">\n              <svg height=\"19\" viewBox=\"0 0 19 19\" width=\"19\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><path d=\"m7.43475275 9.52380952-2.17490843 2.26076008c-1.08745421 1.058837-1.68841575 2.518315-1.68841575 4.0350275 0 1.5167124.60096154 2.9475732 1.68841575 4.0350274 1.058837 1.0874543 2.51831502 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xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><path d=\"m8.14285714 9.42857143c-.17142857 0-.34285714 0-.51428571.08571428l7.28571427 6.34285719c.3428572.2571428.6857143.2571428.9428572 0l7.2857142-6.34285719c-.0857142-.08571428-.2571428-.08571428-.4285714-.08571428zm-1.28571428 1.11428567v.1714286 8.5714286c0 .6857143.6 1.2857143 1.28571428 1.2857143h14.57142856c.6857143 0 1.2857143-.6 1.2857143-1.2857143v-8.5714286c0-.0857143 0-.0857143 0-.1714286l-7.2 6.3428572c-.7714286.6857143-1.8857143.6857143-2.6571429 0z\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" transform=\"translate(-6 -9)\"\/><\/svg>\n            <\/span>\n            <span class=\"a2a_label visually-hidden\">Email<\/span>\n          <\/a>\n                  <\/span>\n  <\/div>\n\n  <\/div><\/div>\n \n\n\n\n  \n    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n<div\n  class=\"cc--component-container cc--rich-text \"\n\n  \n  \n  \n  \n  \n  \n  >\n  <div class=\"c--component c--rich-text\"\n    \n      >\n\n    \n      \n<div class=\"f--field f--wysiwyg\">\n\n    \n  <p>Donald Trump won a decisive victory in November, securing both the electoral and the popular vote. Although many of his policies have broad voter support, Trump himself <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/01\/18\/us\/politics\/trump-policies-immigration-tariffs-economy.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">remains a polarizing figure<\/a>. Meanwhile, the Democratic Party has lost appeal for significant portions of the country, including once stalwart supporters like <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/01\/04\/us\/politics\/democrats-working-class.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the working-class<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aljazeera.com\/news\/2024\/11\/6\/us-election-2024-results-how-black-voters-shifted-towards-trump\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">minority voters<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Experts from all sides of the political aisle convened at this year\u2019s annual Warschaw Conference on Practical Politics hosted by the <a href=\"https:\/\/dornsife.usc.edu\/center-for-political-future\/\">Center for the Political Future<\/a> (CPF) at USC Dornsife College of Letters, Arts and Sciences to discuss why Trump\u2019s campaign succeeded with voters, why Kamala Harris\u2019 didn\u2019t, and what the future might hold for the two parties.<\/p>\n<p>At the conference, political commentator and host of PBS\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pbs.org\/wnet\/firing-line\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><em>Firing Line<\/em><\/a> Margaret Hoover conducted a taping of the program with Democratic strategist <a href=\"https:\/\/bipartisanpolicy.org\/person\/james-carville\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">James Carville<\/a>, who helped Bill Clinton take the White House in 1992, and veteran Republican strategist <a href=\"https:\/\/dornsife.usc.edu\/center-for-political-future\/about-the-center\/staff\/mike-murphy-republican-strategist\/\">Mike Murphy<\/a>, co-director of CPF.<\/p>\n<p>The three held a wide-ranging discussion that touched on the Republicans\u2019 successful populist makeover, what Harris\u2019s campaign might have done differently, and whether the \u201cMake America Great Again\u201d camp could see schisms soon.<\/p>\n<div class=\"video-embed\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Mike Murphy and James Carville | Full Episode 1.31.25 | Firing Line with Margaret Hoover | PBS\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/HNrmbIEj5vI?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/div>\n<p>Part of the problem for the Democrats, says Carville, was that the party picked poor candidates, both in first attempting to reelect President Joe Biden and then replacing him with Vice President Kamala Harris. \u201cIf we were playing the Super Bowl, we started our seventh string quarterback,\u201d says Carville.<\/p>\n<p>The Democrats also failed to offer much in the way of persuasive, populist policies that addressed voters\u2019 economic concerns, such as raising the federal minimum wage, Carville notes. \u201cPeople say, \u2018Do you think they should move to the left? Do you think they should move to the right?\u2019 Move to, like, giving people a raise!\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Trump\u2019s critiques of the Biden administration resonated with voters during his campaign, but the real test will be whether he can deliver on his promises to actually improve things, says Murphy. \u201cHe was elected to fix the economy, so let\u2019s see how a trade war [goes]. I think he\u2019s on a shot clock, and I think he\u2019s going to hit the rocks over time.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The two also debated whether voters view Democrats as effective administrators and thus suited to manage the country.<\/p>\n<p>Democratic-run California has a \u201ccompetence crisis,\u201d exemplified by poor management decisions that exacerbated recent wildfires in Los Angeles, Murphy says. \u201cVoters here of every party are hopping mad.\u201d If Democrats want to take back the presidency, they\u2019d be advised to first demonstrate proper management of their own cities and states, he notes.<\/p>\n<p>Carville reminded the audience, however, that Democratic mayors oversee cities that produce some 70% of the GDP and that they also have a track record of substantive policy change. \u201cLook at what Obama did. Where do you think 23 million people got their health care from? Not from a talking point, but from actually winning an election and executing a policy.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><strong>More from the Warschaw Conference<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Other panels during the day dialed more directly into what drove Trump\u2019s win, how the Democrats \u201clost the plot\u201d and what to expect from the Trump administration over the next four years.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/l1WYqAmvJwI?si=ECKZqVLrTTeuKVqp\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Watch \u201cTrump\u2019s Historic Comeback\u201d &gt;&gt;<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/MDRQ1qDGkZI?si=rZULV8Tl-JIBptmY\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Watch \u201cHow Democrats Lost the Plot\u201d &gt;&gt;<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/c3pQQ07Gn70?si=SgkeaRAELNb_oj1W\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Watch \u201c\u2018The Future Lies Ahead\u2019: The Second Trump Presidency\u201d &gt;&gt;<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/tXSSuhJRZnI?si=G0Z8p8_AkD_QCwGF\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Watch \u201cFight On for the Political Future with USC Students\u201d &gt;&gt;<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n  <\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n  \n        \n  \n    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n<div\n  class=\"cc--component-container cc--article-related-stories \"\n\n  \n  \n  \n  \n  \n  \n  >\n  <div class=\"c--component c--article-related-stories\"\n    \n      >\n\n    \n  <div class=\"inner-wrapper\">\n              \n<div class=\"f--field f--section-title\">\n\n    \n  <h2>\n          RELATED ARTICLES\n      <\/h2>\n\n\n<\/div>\n    \n                  <article>\n              \n<div class=\"f--field f--cta-title\">\n\n    \n  <h3>\n          <a href=\"https:\/\/dornsife.usc.edu\/news\/stories\/galas-honoring-political-strategist-and-scholar-bob-shrum-raise-nearly-1m-in-support-of-civil-discourse\/\" \n                        class=\"\" \n      >Galas honoring political strategist and scholar Bob Shrum raise nearly $1M in support of civil discourse<\/a>\n      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<\/div><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Panelists at USC\u2019s Warschaw Conference discussed Donald Trump\u2019s return to the presidency, and how Democrats lost their way.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":23080,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[50],"tags":[503,63,87],"class_list":["post-23076","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics","tag-center-for-the-political-future","tag-community-engagement","tag-expert-viewpoint"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Why Trump took back the White House<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Panelists at USC\u2019s annual Warschaw Conference discussed Donald Trump\u2019s return to the presidency 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