{"id":4415,"date":"2023-01-17T15:55:52","date_gmt":"2023-01-17T23:55:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dornsife.usc.edu\/eri\/?page_id=4415"},"modified":"2025-05-21T16:55:51","modified_gmt":"2025-05-21T23:55:51","slug":"getting-real-about-refom-ii","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/dornsife.usc.edu\/eri\/publications\/getting-real-about-refom-ii\/","title":{"rendered":"Getting Real about Reform II: Estimating Revenue Gains from Changes to California\u2019s System of Assessing Commercial Real Estate"},"content":{"rendered":"\n\n\n\n\n  \n    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n<div\n  class=\"cc--component-container cc--scrolling-text-with-image \"\n\n  \n  \n  \n  \n  \n  \n  >\n  <div class=\"c--component c--scrolling-text-with-image\"\n    \n      >\n\n    \n  <div class=\"text-image-container\">\n\n          \n      <div class=\"image-container\">\n            \n<div class=\"f--field f--image\">\n\n    \n    \n    \n    \n    \n    \n              \n      <img decoding=\"async\"\n                            src=\"https:\/\/dornsife.usc.edu\/eri\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/41\/2025\/05\/Updated_2019_Rev_Est_memo_Design_v5_Page_01-768x1024.png\"\n          srcset=\"https:\/\/dornsife.usc.edu\/eri\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/41\/2025\/05\/Updated_2019_Rev_Est_memo_Design_v5_Page_01-1280x1707.png 1280w,https:\/\/dornsife.usc.edu\/eri\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/41\/2025\/05\/Updated_2019_Rev_Est_memo_Design_v5_Page_01-768x1024.png 768w\"          sizes=\"(min-width:1024px) 50vw, (min-width:768px) 100vw, 100vw\"\n        \n                  alt=\"Report cover of \"Getting Real about Reform II\"\"\n        \n        \n                                      \/>\n\n    \n    \n  \n  \n\n<\/div>\n      <\/div>\n      \n    <div class=\"text-container\">\n  \n                  \n<div class=\"f--field f--eyebrow\">\n\n    \n  <span>Economic Inclusion and Climate Equity<\/span>\n\n\n<\/div>\n        \n                  \n<div class=\"f--field f--section-title\">\n\n    \n  <h2>\n           \n      <\/h2>\n\n\n<\/div>\n        \n                  \n<div class=\"f--field f--description\">\n\n    \n  <p>February 2020<\/p>\n<p><em>By\u00a0Jennifer Ito, Justin Scoggins, and Manuel Pastor<\/em><\/p>\n<p>When we first released\u00a0<i><a href=\"https:\/\/dornsife.usc.edu\/eri\/publications\/getting-real-about-reform-2015\/\">Getting Real About Reform<\/a>\u00a0<\/i>in 2015, we presented a methodology for estimating county-level tax revenue gains from a change in law to assess commercial\/industrial properties at market value in California. We subsequently updated the analysis in 2018, and here we update it again in 2020\u2014the year an initiative will be on the November ballot to make such a change in law. While we build on the methods developed in that earlier work, we use here more recent data and alter our assumptions around average annual growth rates for both assessed value and market value to reflect likely market conditions. We then project our baseline estimates forward to 2021-22, and offer an estimate of the revenue implications for the Golden State and its diverse 58 counties under a system that assesses commercial and industrial property based on market rather than acquisition value. That analysis suggests a shift to market value assessment on the commercial and industrial side could yield 10.3 to 12.6 billion dollars statewide in additional property tax revenue.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<\/div>\n      \n          <\/div>\n\n  <\/div>\n\n\n\n  <\/div><\/div>\n\n\n  \n    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n<div\n  class=\"cc--component-container cc--spacer \"\n\n  \n  \n  \n  \n  \n  \n  >\n  <div class=\"c--component c--spacer\"\n    \n      >\n\n    \n\n  <\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n    \n  \n    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n<div\n  class=\"cc--component-container cc--full-width-cta \"\n\n  \n  \n  \n  \n  \n  \n  >\n  <div class=\"c--component c--full-width-cta\"\n    \n      >\n\n    \n<div class=\"inner-wrapper\">\n      <div class=\"header-container\">\n  \n                  \n<div class=\"f--field f--section-title\">\n\n    \n  <h2>\n          Download report\n      <\/h2>\n\n\n<\/div>\n                <\/div>\n    \n      <div class=\"links-container\">\n        \n            \n<div class=\"f--field 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