{"id":636,"date":"2016-12-29T18:28:00","date_gmt":"2016-12-29T18:28:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dornsife.usc.edu\/armenian\/?p=636"},"modified":"2024-06-11T16:34:29","modified_gmt":"2024-06-11T16:34:29","slug":"council-on-foreign-relations-on-karabakh-escalation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dornsife.usc.edu\/armenian\/2016\/12\/29\/council-on-foreign-relations-on-karabakh-escalation\/","title":{"rendered":"Council on Foreign Relations on Karabakh Escalation"},"content":{"rendered":"\n\n\n\n\n  \n    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n<div\n  class=\"cc--component-container cc--article-hero \"\n\n  \n  \n  \n  \n  \n  \n  >\n  <div class=\"c--component c--article-hero\"\n    \n      >\n\n    \n<div class=\"inner-wrapper\">\n  \n  \n  <div class=\"text-wrapper\">\n    \n              \n<div class=\"f--field f--page-title\">\n\n    \n  <h1>Council on Foreign Relations on Karabakh Escalation<\/h1>\n\n\n<\/div>\n    \n    \n          <strong class=\"author-field\"><span >By<\/span>Emil Sanamyan<\/strong>\n    \n          <span class=\"post-date-field\">December 29, 2016<\/span>\n      <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n  <\/div><\/div>\n\n  \n    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n<div\n  class=\"cc--component-container cc--social-share \"\n\n  \n  \n  \n  \n  \n  \n  >\n  <div class=\"c--component c--social-share\"\n    \n      >\n\n    \n  <div class=\"content-wrapper\">\n    <span class=\"a2a_kit a2a_kit_size_32 addtoany_list\" style=\"line-height: 32px;\">\n      <span class=\"title\">\n        Share\n      <\/span>\n                        <a class=\"a2a_button_copy_link\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"\/#copy_link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"Link\">\n            <span class=\"a2a_svg a2a_s__default a2a_s_copy_link\">\n              <svg height=\"19\" viewBox=\"0 0 19 19\" width=\"19\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><path d=\"m7.43475275 9.52380952-2.17490843 2.26076008c-1.08745421 1.058837-1.68841575 2.518315-1.68841575 4.0350275 0 1.5167124.60096154 2.9475732 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<p><strong>Dec. 29, 2016<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Likelihood of a fresh outbreak of fighting in Nagorno Karabakh in 2017 is low and if it were to occur it would have negligible impact on U.S. foreign policy, says the\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.cfr.org\/conflict-assessment\/preventive-priorities-survey-2017\/p38562\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">latest Preventive Priorities Survey<\/a>\u00a0issued annually by the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR).<\/p>\n<p>The survey ranks conflicts worldwide by their likelihood of escalation and anticipated impact on the United States. Notably, CFR made the same prediction in its 2015 Survey and decided to leave Karabakh out the\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.cfr.org\/conflict-assessment\/preventive-priorities-survey-2016\/p37364\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">survey for 2016<\/a>, arguing at the time than an \u201can outbreak of military conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan over Nagorno Karabakh [was] not identified as [a] significant concern in the initial pool of crowdsourced contingencies.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>CFR\u2019s Center for Preventive Action that publishes the survey is led by\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.cfr.org\/experts\/conflict-prevention-national-security-contingency-planning-early-warning-northeast-asia\/paul-b-stares\/b13608\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>Paul Stares<\/strong><\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n  <\/div><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":139,"featured_media":637,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-636","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-institute-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.1.1 - 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