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USC College/Los Angeles Times Press Release: Prop. 25 Supported by Majority of Likely Voters

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Prop. 25 Supported by Majority of Likely Voters

Prop. 23 Opposed by 47 Percent of Likely Voters


Media Contact: Suzanne Wu at (213) 740-0252 or suzanne.wu@usc.edu



LOS ANGELES, Calif. — October 25, 2010 — A ballot proposition that would eliminate the two-thirds requirement to pass a budget in the California state legislature is supported by 58 percent of California’s likely voters, according to the USC College of Letters, Arts & Sciences/Los Angeles Times Poll.

Twenty-eight percent of likely voters oppose Proposition 25, and 13 percent remain undecided.

If passed, Prop. 25 would change the legislative vote requirement to pass budget and budget-related legislation to a simple majority. It would retain the two-thirds vote requirement for taxes.

While Democratic voters overwhelmingly support Prop. 25 with 68 percent in favor, the measure also wins among Republican voters 46 to 44. Among likely voters registered “Decline to State,” support for the proposition is ahead 61 to 21.

Women and men are fairly even in their support with 57 percent of men and 60 percent of women supporting Prop. 25 among likely voters. Thirty-five percent of men and 21 percent of women oppose the proposition.

Of those surveyed who have already voted, 67 percent of people reported voting for Prop. 25.

The USC College/Los Angeles Poll was conducted October 13-20, 2010 and has a margin of error +/- 2.5 for registered voters and +/- 3.2 for likely voters.


MANY VOTERS REMAIN UNDECIDED ABOUT PROP. 23


Proposition 23, which would suspend implementation of California’s air pollution control law until unemployment drops to 5.5. percent or less for a full year, is opposed by 48 percent of likely California voters. Thirty-two percent support the proposition and a significant number — 19 percent of likely voters — remain undecided.

Opposition to the proposition varies across party registration. While support for Prop. 23 is up by 9 points among likely Republican voters (43 to 34), it loses by 34 points among likely Democratic voters with 58 percent opposing the measure and 23 percent supporting it.

Among likely voters registered “Decline to State,” 55 percent oppose Prop. 23, and 29 percent support it.

Twenty-two percent of likely Republican voters, 19 percent of likely Democratic voters, and 13 percent of likely decline-to-state voters remain undecided.

Among likely Latino voters, 31 percent remain undecided about Prop. 23. Likely Latino voters are effectively split on the measure, with 35 percent support and 34 percent opposed.

Men are much more likely to support Prop. 23 than women. Among likely voters, 37 percent of men support Prop. 23 compared to 27 percent of women. About the same proportion of men and women oppose the measure, 48 percent and 47 percent, respectively. Fifteen percent of men and 24 percent of women remain undecided.

The USC College/Los Angeles Times Poll is the largest statewide poll of voters in California. More than 1,500 registered voters were surveyed in the most recent poll, conducted October 13-20, 2010, with a likely voter sample of 922 voters.


About the USC College of Letters, Arts and Sciences/Los Angeles Times Poll:
The USC College/Los Angeles Times Poll project is a series of six statewide public opinion polls that began November 8, 2009, and will continue throughout California’s crucial 2010 elections for governor and U.S. Senate.

These polls will be taken at regular intervals and will be designed to survey California residents’ attitudes on a wide range of political, policy, social and cultural issues to better inform the public and to encourage discourse on key political and policy issues.

The October poll was conducted for the Los Angeles Times and USC College of Letters, Arts and Sciences by Democratic polling firm Greenberg Quinlan Rosner in conjunction with Republican polling firm American Viewpoint.


About USC College of Letters, Arts and Sciences:
USC College of Letters, Art & Sciences is the university’s primary center for research and education in the natural sciences, humanities and social sciences. The largest of USC’s 19 academic schools, USC College is composed of more than 30 academic departments and more than 20 Ph.D. programs, and is home to more than two dozen research centers and institutes.


About the Los Angeles Times:
The Los Angeles Times is the largest metropolitan daily newspaper in the country, with a daily readership of 2 million and 3 million on Sunday, and a combined print and interactive local weekly audience of 4.5 million. The fast-growing latimes.com draws over 10 million unique visitors monthly.
    
Contact USC Media Relations 24/7 at (213) 740-2215 or USCNews@usc.edu.