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June 4, 2014 — The USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times Poll was the most accurate statewide poll in reflecting the outcome of yesterday's California gubernatorial primary, correctly predicting businessman Neel Kashkari's second-place finish in the race to determine who will compete for the state's highest office.
The latest poll, conducted May 21-28, 2014, had incumbent Gov. Jerry Brown winning 50 percent of likely voters, Kashkari with 18 percent and California State Assemblyman Tim Donnelly with 13 percent, with 10 percent of likely voters undecided.
Actual poll returns indicate that Kashkari won 19 percent of the vote and will face Brown, who won 55 percent of the vote, in November's general election. In third, Donnelly won 15 percent of the vote.
The USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times Poll is the largest statewide survey of registered voters and includes a significant oversample of Latino voters, as well as a robust cell phone sample.
"Low turnout elections are notoriously fluid, but despite record-low turnout, we're pleased that the methodology of the USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times Poll correctly reflected election results," said Mike Madrid, co-director of the USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times Poll, distinguished USC Unruh Institute Fellow and Republican strategist. "These results give us confidence in examining Californians' opinions going forward. The poll also lays a deep foundation for what issues are likely to be addressed by both gubernatorial nominees."
For more information about the USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times Poll, including results and methodology, visit http://dornsife.usc.edu/poll.
About the USC Dornsife College of Letters, Arts and Sciences/Los Angeles Times Poll: The USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times Poll is a series of statewide public opinion polls in California, designed to survey voter attitudes on a wide range of political, policy, social and cultural issues.
Conducted at regular intervals throughout the year, the USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times Poll is the largest statewide poll of registered voters and has been widely cited, helping to inform the public and to encourage discourse on key political and policy issues.
About USC Dornsife College of Letters, Arts and Sciences: USC Dornsife College of Letters, Arts and Sciences is the heart of the university. The largest, oldest and most diverse of USC's 19 schools, USC Dornsife is composed of more than 30 academic departments and dozens of research centers and institutes. USC Dornsife is home to approximately 10,000 undergraduate and graduate students and more than 750 faculty members with expertise across the humanities, social sciences and sciences.
About the Los Angeles Times: The Los Angeles Times is the largest metropolitan daily newspaper in the country, with a daily readership of 2 million and 3 million on Sunday, and a combined print and interactive local weekly audience of 4.5 million. The fast-growing latimes.com draws over 10 million unique visitors monthly.