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Richard John

Associate Professor of Psychology

Contact Information
E-mail: richardj@usc.edu
Phone: (213) 740-4011
Office: SGM 621

 

Education

Ph.D. Quantitative Psychology, University of Southern California, 5/1984
M.S. Applied Mathematics, University of Southern California, 12/1983
B.S. Applied Mathematics, Georgia Institute of Technology, 6/1976
 

Academic Appointment, Affiliation, and Employment History

Associate Professor. Department of Psychology, University of Southern California, 07/1997-  
Associate Professor, Institute for Safety and Systems Management, University of Southern California, 07/1990-06/1997  
Assistant Professor, Institute for Safety and Systems Management, University of Southern California, 07/1984-06/1990  
 

Affiliations with Research Centers, Labs, and Other Institutions

CREATE - Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events, Risk Analysis and Risk Perception Teams, Designated Researcher, http://www.usc.edu/dept/create/
 

Conferences and Other Presentations

Conference Presentations

"Using scenario simulation to assess the dynamics of affect, threat beliefs, perceived risk and intended avoidance behavior during escalating catastrophic biological disasters. ", 2nd International Conference on Integrated Disaster & Risk Management, Talk/Oral Presentation, Abstract, Los Angeles, CREATE, Invited, 07/2011  
"Value focused modeling for an adaptive adversary", 4th Annual Workshop on Human Behavior and Security (SHB-2011), Talk/Oral Presentation, Pittsburgh, Pa., CMU, CREATE, Invited, 06/2011  
"Dynamics of affect, threat beliefs, perceived risk and intended avoid¬ance behavior during a scenario simu¬lation of an escalating catastrophic biological disaster", Annual Meeting of the Society for Risk Analysis (SRA), Talk/Oral Presentation, Abstract, Salt Lake City, Utah, CREATE, Invited, 12/2010  
"Modeling the dynamic bidirectional influence of attack threat and countermeasure decision making", Annual Meeting of the Society for Risk Analysis (SRA), Talk/Oral Presentation, Abstract, Salt Lake City, Utah, CREATE, Invited, 12/2010  
"DNA database trawling: Effects on judgments of guilt and the interpretation of non-genetic evidence", Annual Conference for Empirical Legal Studies (CELS), Talk/Oral Presentation, Refereed Paper, Yale Law School, 11/2010  
"Do East Versus West Coast Residents Respond Differently to a Catastrophic Biological Outbreak?", Annual Meeting of INFORMS, Talk/Oral Presentation, Refereed Abstract, Austin, Tx., CREATE, 11/2010  
"Genetic database trawls and the expectation of corroborating evidence: An account of the Wells Effect", 31st Annual Meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making, Talk/Oral Presentation, Refereed Abstract, St. Louis, Mo, CREATE, 11/2010  
"Information moderates desirability bias in predicting uncertain future events", 31st Annual Meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making, Poster, Refereed Abstract, St. Louis, Mo, CREATE, 11/2010  
"Knowing more but thinking less: Expertise and unpacking biases under uncertainty", 31st Annual Meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making, Poster, Refereed Abstract, St. Louis, Mo, CREATE, 11/2010  
"Mapping judgments of domestic intelligence policy alternatives", 31st Annual Meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making, Poster, Refereed Abstract, St. Louis, Mo, CREATE, 11/2010  
"Structuring dynamic public response to multiple biological terrorist attacks", Annual Meeting of INFORMS, Talk/Oral Presentation, Refereed Abstract, Austin, Tx., CREATE, 11/2010  
"Using MAU to Structure Domestic Intelligence Policy", Annual Meeting of INFORMS, Talk/Oral Presentation, Refereed Abstract, Austin, Tx., CREATE, 11/2010  
"How does the source of a deadly flu virus affect changes in beliefs, emotions, and behavioral intentions to react to a growing epidemic? ", 48th Annual Edwards' Bayesian Research Conference, Talk/Oral Presentation, Refereed Abstract, Fullerton, California, CREATE, 01/2010  
"How does government risk communication and social norm affect fear, perception of risk, and behavioral intentions following terrorist attacks? ", Annual meeting of the Society for Risk Analysis (SRA), Talk/Oral Presentation, Refereed Abstract, Baltimore, Maryland, CREATE, 12/2009  
"What have we learned about the public’s perception of terrorism risk?", Annual meeting of the Society for Risk Analysis (SRA), Poster, Refereed Abstract, Baltimore, Maryland, CREATE, 12/2009  
"Actuarial risk assessment, risk communication and involuntary civil commitment decisions", 30th Annual Meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making (SJDM), Poster, Refereed Abstract, Boston, MA, CREATE, 11/2009  
"Decision Analysis by Proxy for the Rational Terrorist", 30th Annual Meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making (SJDM), Poster, Refereed Abstract, Boston, MA, CREATE, 11/2009  
"Fear and loathing in Hollywood", 30th Annual Meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making (SJDM), Poster, Refereed Abstract, Boston, MA, CREATE, 11/2009  
"Value focused thinking for evaluating alternative counter-terrorism policies", Institute for Operations Research and Management Science (INFORMS), Talk/Oral Presentation, San Diego, California, CREATE, Invited, 10/11/2009-10/14/2009  
"Risk perception driving factors", workshop on Public Response Threat: Cross-Disciplinary Contributions and Collaboration, Talk/Oral Presentation, Abstract, Eugene, Oregon, CREATE, Invited, 08/2009  
"Fear and Loathing in the U.S. and Hollywood", 22nd annual meeting on Subjective Probability, Utility, and Decision Making (SPUDM-22), Talk/Oral Presentation, Refereed Abstract, Rovereto, Italy, CREATE, 08/23/2009-08/27/2009  
"Decision analysis by proxy for the rational terrorist", Quantitative Risk Analysis for Security Applications (QRASA-09) Workshop, 21st International Joint C, Talk/Oral Presentation, Paper, Pasadena, California, CREATE, Invited, 07/2009  
"Fear and loathing in Hollywood and elsewhere: Studies in perception of risks from terrorism (asymmetric threats).", MIT Conference on Security and Human Behavior, Talk/Oral Presentation, Cambridge, Massachusetts, CREATE, Invited, 06/10/2009-06/11/2009  
"Value focused thinking for counterterrorism risk analysis", annual Department of Homeland Security (DHS) Summit Meeting, Talk/Oral Presentation, Washington, D. C.,, CREATE, Invited, 03/17/2009-03/18/2009  
"Using terrorism risk perception to better understand the public’s response to disasters", 47th Annual Bayesian Research Conference, Talk/Oral Presentation, Refereed Abstract, Fullerton, California, CREATE, 01/2009  
"Faithful followers of Rev. Bayes seduced to the dark side", 47th annual Bayesian Research Conference, Talk/Oral Presentation, Fullerton, California, CREATE, Invited, 01/07/2009-01/10/2009  
"Defender-attacker decision trees for terrorism risk analysis.", Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) annual meeting, Talk/Oral Presentation, Refereed Boston, Massachusetts, CREATE, Invited, 12/07/2008-12/10/2008  
"The Sum of Our Fears and Egocentric Zero-Sum Assumptions ", Institute for Operations Research and Management Science (INFORMS) Annual Conference, Talk/Oral Presentation, Washington, D.C., CREATE, Invited, 10/12/2008-10/15/2008  
"Perspective Taking: Avoiding the Zero-Sum Trap ", Conference on Behavioral Economics and Terrorism, Talk/Oral Presentation, Los Angeles, CREATE, Invited, 08/15/2008-08/16/2008  
"Perspective Taking & Threat Assessment ", MIT Conference on Human Behavior and Security, Talk/Oral Presentation, Cambridge, Ma., CREATE, Invited, 06/30/2008-07/01/2008  
"Probabilistic Project Management for a Terrorist Planning a Dirty Bomb Attack on a Major US Port", NPS Workshop on Critical Infrastructure, Talk/Oral Presentation, Monterrey, California, Naval Post Graduate School, Invited, 06/06/2008-06/07/2008  
"Random Utility Modeling for the Rational Terrorist", LANL Risk Symposium 2008, Effective Risk Communication: Tools, Theory and Applications , Talk/Oral Presentation, Santa Fe, New Mexico, CREATE, Invited, 03/11/2008-03/13/2008  
"What do terrorists really want?", Bayesian Research Conference, Talk/Oral Presentation, Fullerton, California, CREATE, Invited, 01/10/2008-01/11/2008  
"Cognitive, emotional, and behavioral reactions to terrorism events", Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) Annual Conference, Talk/Oral Presentation, Refereed San Antonio, CREATE, Invited, 12/09/2007-12/12/2007  
"What do we know about public perception of terrorism risks?", Society for Risk Analysis (SRA), Talk/Oral Presentation, Refereed San Antonio, CREATE, Invited, 12/09/2007-12/12/2007  
"Cognitive, emotional, and behavioral reactions to terrorism events.", Institute for Operations Research and Management Science (INFORMS), Talk/Oral Presentation, Refereed Seattle, CREATE, Invited, 11/04/2007-11/07/2007  
"Decision analysis by proxy for the rational terrorist", Institute for Operations Research and Management Science (INFORMS), Talk/Oral Presentation, Refereed Seattle, CREATE, Invited, 11/04/2007-11/07/2007  
"Lifestyle choices: The difference between you and me. ", Association for Psychological Science (APS), Poster, Refereed Washington, D. C., 05/24/2007-05/27/2007  
"Random utility modeling of terrorist preferences to estimate terrorist attack probability", Los Alamos National Laboratory Risk Symposium, Talk/Oral Presentation, Santa Fe, N. M., Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) & DHS, Invited, 03/25/2007-03/26/2007  
"Modeling terrorist motivations and beliefs", DHS University Programs Research Summit, Talk/Oral Presentation, Washington, D. C., Department of Homeland Security (DHS), Invited, 03/15/2007-03/16/2007  
"Estimating likelihood of terrorist attacks by modeling terrorist objectives and values", Institute for Operations Research and Management Science (INFORMS), Talk/Oral Presentation, Refereed Pittsburg, CREATE, Invited, 11/2006  
"Future time perspective, risk perceptions, and health", Gerontological Society of America (GSA), Poster, Refereed Dallas, 11/16/2006-11/20/2006  
"Age differences in preventive health decisions", Association of Psychological Science (APS), Poster, Refereed New York, 05/25/2006-05/28/2006  
 

Publications

Book Chapter

Brougham, R., John, R. S. (2009). Time Perspective: Health, Income, and Age.
Marjchrzak, A., Malhotra, A., John, R. S. (2008). Enabling knowledge sharing effectiveness in structurally diverse distributed teams with organizational memory information systems, In I. Becerra-Fernandez & D. Leidner (Eds.), Knowledge management: An evolutionary view of the field. New York: M. E. Sharpe, Inc..
Brougham, R. R., John, R. S. (2007). Age differences in preventative health decisions, In Paul O’Neal (Ed.), Motivation of health behavior. pp. 49-63. New York: Nova Science Publishers.
 

Conference Proceeding

John, R. S., Rosoff, H. (2011). Modeling effects of counterterrorism initiatives for reducing adversary threats to transportation systems.
Rosoff, H., John, R. S. (2009). Decision analysis by proxy for the rational terrorist. Proceedings of the 21st International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence (IJCAI-09), Workshop on Quantitative Risk Analysis for Security Applications (QRASA), Pasadena, California, July 11-17..
 

Journal Article

Scurich, N., John, R. S. (2011). Trawling genetic databases: When a DNA match is just a naked statistic. Journal of Empirical Legal Studies. Vol. 8 (S1), pp. 49-71.
Rosoff, H., John, R. S., Prager, F. (2011). Flu, risks, and videotape: Escalation of fear and avoidance behavior. Risk Analysis.
Dillon-Merrill, R., John, R. S., Lester, G., Tinsley, C. (2011). Differentiating Conflicts in Beliefs vs. Value Trade-offs in the Domestic Intelligence Policy Debate. Risk Analysis.
Scurich, N., John, R. S. (2011). Constraints on restraints: A signal detection analysis of the use of mechanical restraints on adult psychiatric inpatients. Southern California Review of Law and Social Justice.
Scurich, N., John, R. S. (2011). The effect of framing actuarial risk probabilities on involuntary civil commitment decisions. Law and Human Behavior. Vol. 35 (2), pp. 83-91.
Rosoff, H., John, R. S., Burns, W., Maya, I. (2011). Scenario simulation group reactions to the aftermath of the Great Shake-out magnitude 7.8 earthquake. Earthquake Spectra. Vol. 27 (2), pp. 597-614.
Scurich, N., John, R. S. (2011). Prescriptive approaches to communicating the risk of violence in actuarial risk assessment. Psychology, Public Policy, and Law.
Scurich, N., John, R. S. (2011). A Bayesian approach to group vs. individual prediction. Law and Human Behavior.
Scurich, N., John, R. S. (2010). The normative threshold for psychiatric civil commitment. Jurimetrics: The Journal of Law, Science, and Technology. Vol. 50, pp. 425-452.
Silverton, L., Mednick, S., Holst, C., John, R. S. (2008). High social class and suicide in persons at risk for schizophrenia. Acta Psychiatrica Scandinavica. Vol. 117 (3), pp. 192-197.
Doumas, D. M., Margolin, G., John, R. S. (2008). Spillover patterns in single-earner couples: Work, self-care, and the marital relationship. Journal of Family and Economic Issues. Vol. 29 (1), pp. 55-73.
Damos, D. L., John, R. S., Lyall, E. A. (2005). Pilot activities and the level of cockpit automation. The International Journal of Aviation Psychology. Vol. 15 (3), pp. 251-268.
Majchrzak, A., Malhotra, A., John, R. S. (2005). Perceived individual collaboration know-how development through information technology-enabled contextualization: evidence from distributed teams. Information Systems Research. Vol. 16 (1), pp. 9-27.
Doumas, D., Margolin, G., John, R. S. (2003). The relationship between daily marital interaction, work, and health-promoting behaviors in dual-earner couples: An extension of the work-family spillover model. Journal of Family Issues/Sage Publications. Vol. 24 (1), pp. 3-20.
Delsol, C., Margolin, G., John, R. S. (2003). A typology of maritally violent men and correlates of violence in a community sample. Journal of Marriage and Family. Vol. 65 (3), pp. 635-651.
Dillon, R. L., John, R. S., von Winterfeldt, D. (2002). Assessment of cost uncertainties for large technology projects: A methodology and an application. Interfaces. Vol. 32 (4), pp. 52-66.
Gatz, M., Reynolds, C. A., Johansson, B., Mortimer, J. A., Pedersen, N. L., John, R. S. (2002). Telephone screening to identify potential dementia cases in a population-based sample of older adults. International Psychogeriatrics. Vol. 14 (3), pp. 273-289.
Margolin, G., Gordis, E. B., John, R. S. (2001). Coparenting: A link between marital conflict and parenting in two parent families. Journal of Family Psychology. Vol. 15 (1), pp. 3-21.
Gordis, E. B., Margolin, G., John, R. S. (2001). The relations among parents' hostility in dyadic marital and triadic family settings and children's behavior problems. Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology. Vol. 69 (4), pp. 727-734.
 

Service to the University

Administrative Appointments

Chair, University Park Institutional Review Board (UPIRB), 07/01/2006-  
 

Committees

Member, Undergraduate Curriculum, Psychology Department, 08/16/2011-  
Chair, Progressive Masters Degree Program, Department of Psychology, 08/16/2009-  
Member, Subject Pool, Department of Psychology, 08/16/2008-  
Member, Masters in Human Behavior Degree Program, Department of Psychology, 08/16/2007-  
Chair, University Park Institutional Review Board (UPIRB), 07/01/2006-  
 
 
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